Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 0.004822 0.005299 0.005813 0.006411 0.007089 0.007837 0.008729
2025-10-19 0.003996 0.004645 0.005399 0.006346 0.007515 0.008926 0.010780
2025-10-26 0.003523 0.004248 0.005131 0.006299 0.007828 0.009795 0.012573
2025-11-02 0.003164 0.003922 0.004880 0.006200 0.008012 0.010469 0.014156
2025-11-09 0.002929 0.003720 0.004750 0.006223 0.008331 0.011329 0.016096
2025-11-16 0.002708 0.003507 0.004577 0.006156 0.008498 0.011974 0.017791
2025-11-23 0.002499 0.003291 0.004376 0.006019 0.008536 0.012413 0.019209
2025-11-30 0.002380 0.003188 0.004321 0.006083 0.008872 0.013342 0.021582
2025-12-07 0.002313 0.003152 0.004354 0.006278 0.009428 0.014691 0.024929
2025-12-14 0.002177 0.003005 0.004213 0.006186 0.009503 0.015226 0.026848
2025-12-21 0.002045 0.002855 0.004054 0.006050 0.009484 0.015589 0.028483
2025-12-28 0.001951 0.002753 0.003962 0.006013 0.009631 0.016264 0.030883
2026-01-04 0.001886 0.002698 0.003945 0.006108 0.010040 0.017528 0.034931
2026-01-11 0.001791 0.002592 0.003839 0.006046 0.010159 0.018254 0.037963
2026-01-18 0.001709 0.002499 0.003749 0.006002 0.010304 0.019049 0.041359
2026-01-25 0.001625 0.002398 0.003637 0.005909 0.010343 0.019622 0.044337
2026-02-01 0.001569 0.002339 0.003591 0.005930 0.010608 0.020728 0.049062
2026-02-08 0.001502 0.002259 0.003505 0.005867 0.010693 0.021439 0.052880
2026-02-15 0.001429 0.002165 0.003388 0.005739 0.010627 0.021784 0.055706
2026-02-22 0.001392 0.002129 0.003370 0.005799 0.010969 0.023173 0.062297
2026-03-01 0.001377 0.002129 0.003415 0.005982 0.011606 0.025417 0.072656
2026-03-08 0.001322 0.002057 0.003327 0.005896 0.011620 0.026040 0.077472
2026-03-15 0.001264 0.001979 0.003224 0.005767 0.011525 0.026353 0.081250